Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.386223 0.426009 0.468660 0.517871 0.573190 0.633575 0.704642
2025-06-29 0.318811 0.373322 0.435960 0.513627 0.607847 0.719077 0.861261
2025-07-06 0.271380 0.330211 0.400919 0.492847 0.610202 0.756340 0.954191
2025-07-13 0.248541 0.312196 0.391621 0.499101 0.642426 0.829355 1.095553
2025-07-20 0.230411 0.297352 0.383593 0.504397 0.671739 0.899089 1.237827
2025-07-27 0.215535 0.284849 0.376710 0.509415 0.699653 0.967897 1.384571
2025-08-03 0.202086 0.272791 0.368896 0.511644 0.722759 1.030774 1.528090
2025-08-10 0.191313 0.263343 0.363568 0.516346 0.749016 1.099643 1.687149
2025-08-17 0.177234 0.248047 0.348564 0.505235 0.749955 1.129291 1.785978
2025-08-24 0.169572 0.241372 0.345392 0.511281 0.777289 1.201943 1.962792
2025-08-31 0.160319 0.231647 0.336875 0.508162 0.789394 1.250494 2.103040
2025-09-07 0.153393 0.224908 0.332302 0.510674 0.810476 1.315289 2.278673
2025-09-14 0.144307 0.214430 0.321461 0.502557 0.813604 1.350509 2.406069
2025-09-21 0.136688 0.205785 0.312946 0.497617 0.821701 1.395157 2.556884
2025-09-28 0.126546 0.192546 0.296240 0.477627 0.801611 1.386734 2.601988
2025-10-05 0.122567 0.188933 0.294878 0.483655 0.828305 1.466860 2.835331
2025-10-12 0.118701 0.185252 0.293122 0.488761 0.853563 1.546427 3.077567
2025-10-19 0.115058 0.181711 0.291339 0.493598 0.878564 1.627676 3.333987
2025-10-26 0.111187 0.177560 0.288236 0.495747 0.898464 1.700442 3.581078
2025-11-02 0.107977 0.174343 0.286528 0.500280 0.923276 1.785519 3.868182
2025-11-09 0.102498 0.166943 0.277059 0.489569 0.916699 1.803810 3.998367
2025-11-16 0.099968 0.164537 0.276314 0.495397 0.944161 1.897805 4.327542
2025-11-23 0.096256 0.159860 0.271207 0.492391 0.952972 1.951501 4.562437